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The Business Cycle’s Impact on Volatility Forecasting: Recapturing Intrinsic Jump Components

This study investigates the leverage effect and realized volatility (RV) of stocks in the presence of asymmetric jumps across economic expansions and contractions. We extend the heterogeneous autoregressive-realized volatility (HAR-RV) model by incorporating a two-period Markov regime-switching mode...

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Bibliografiska uppgifter
Huvudupphov: Son-Nan Chen, Pao-Peng Hsu
Materialtyp: Artigo
Språk:Inglês
Utgiven: MDPI AG 2025-11-01
Serie:Risks
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Länkar:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/13/11/221
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