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The Business Cycle’s Impact on Volatility Forecasting: Recapturing Intrinsic Jump Components

This study investigates the leverage effect and realized volatility (RV) of stocks in the presence of asymmetric jumps across economic expansions and contractions. We extend the heterogeneous autoregressive-realized volatility (HAR-RV) model by incorporating a two-period Markov regime-switching mode...

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Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteurs: Son-Nan Chen, Pao-Peng Hsu
Formaat: Artigo
Taal:Inglês
Gepubliceerd in: MDPI AG 2025-11-01
Reeks:Risks
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Online toegang:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/13/11/221
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