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A response to Mandel’s (2019) commentary on Stastny and Lehner (2018)

Stastny and Lehner (2018) compared the accuracy of forecasts in an intelligence community prediction market to comparable forecasts in analysis reports prepared by groups of professional intelligence analysts. To obtain quantitative probabilities from the analysis reports experienced analysts were a...

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Бібліографічні деталі
Автори: Paul Lehner, Bradley Stastny
Формат: Artigo
Мова:Inglês
Опубліковано: Cambridge University Press 2019-09-01
Серія:Judgment and Decision Making
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Онлайн доступ:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500004915/type/journal_article
Теги: Додати тег
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