Comparative evaluation of the forecast accuracy of analysis reports and a prediction market
This paper summarizes an empirical comparison of the accuracy of forecasts included in analysis reports developed by professional intelligence analysts to comparable forecasts in a prediction market that has broad participation from across an intelligence community. To compare forecast accuracy, 99...
Bewaard in:
| Hoofdauteurs: | , |
|---|---|
| Formaat: | Artigo |
| Taal: | Inglês |
| Gepubliceerd in: |
Cambridge University Press
2018-03-01
|
| Reeks: | Judgment and Decision Making |
| Onderwerpen: | |
| Online toegang: | http://journal.sjdm.org/17/17815/jdm17815.pdf |
| Tags: |
Geen labels, Wees de eerste die dit record labelt!
|