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A response to Mandel’s (2019) commentary on Stastny and Lehner (2018)

Stastny and Lehner (2018) compared the accuracy of forecasts in an intelligence community prediction market to comparable forecasts in analysis reports prepared by groups of professional intelligence analysts. To obtain quantitative probabilities from the analysis reports experienced analysts were a...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Principais autores: Paul Lehner, Bradley Stastny
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Cambridge University Press 2019-09-01
coleção:Judgment and Decision Making
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500004915/type/journal_article
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