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ACCOUNTING FOR UNCERTAINTY ABOUT PAST VALUES IN PROBABILISTIC PROJECTIONS OF THE TOTAL FERTILITY RATE FOR MOST COUNTRIES
Since the 1940s, population projections have in most cases been produced using the deterministic cohort component method. However, in 2015, for the first time, in a major advance, the United Nations issued official probabilistic population projections for all countries based on Bayesian hierarchical...
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| Udgivet i: | Ann Appl Stat |
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| Main Authors: | , |
| Format: | Artigo |
| Sprog: | Inglês |
| Udgivet: |
2020
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| Fag: | |
| Online adgang: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8020736/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33824692 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1214/19-aoas1294 |
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