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Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries
We describe a Bayesian projection model to produce country-specific projections of the total fertility rate (TFR) for all countries. The model decomposes the evolution of TFR into three phases: pre-transition high fertility, the fertility transition, and post-transition low fertility. The model for...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | Inglês |
| Publicado em: |
2011
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3367999/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21748544 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5 |
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