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Probabilistic projection of subnational total fertility rates

BACKGROUND: We consider the problem of probabilistic projection of the total fertility rate (TFR) for subnational regions. OBJECTIVE: We seek a method that is consistent with the UN’s recently adopted Bayesian method for probabilistic TFR projections for all countries and works well for all countrie...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Udgivet i:Demogr Res
Main Authors: Ševčíková, Hana, Raftery, Adrian E., Gerland, Patrick
Format: Artigo
Sprog:Inglês
Udgivet: 2018
Fag:
Online adgang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6961957/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31942164
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2018.38.60
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