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Forecast accuracy hardly improves with method complexity when completing cohort fertility

Forecasts of completed fertility predict how many children will be born on average by women over their entire reproductive lifetime. These forecasts are important in informing public policy and influencing additional research in the social sciences. However, nothing is known about how to choose a fo...

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Veröffentlicht in:Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Hauptverfasser: Bohk-Ewald, Christina, Li, Peng, Myrskylä, Mikko
Format: Artigo
Sprache:Inglês
Veröffentlicht: National Academy of Sciences 2018
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Online Zugang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140540/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30150406
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115
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