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Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements
Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the future development can be quite precise as long as turning points and/or age-shifts of mortality decline are not present. To account even for such mortality dynamics, we propose a model that combines recently dev...
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| 發表在: | Genus |
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| Main Authors: | , |
| 格式: | Artigo |
| 語言: | Inglês |
| 出版: |
Springer International Publishing
2017
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| 主題: | |
| 在線閱讀: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5233746/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28133393 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-016-0017-8 |
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