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Forecast accuracy hardly improves with method complexity when completing cohort fertility

Forecasts of completed fertility predict how many children will be born on average by women over their entire reproductive lifetime. These forecasts are important in informing public policy and influencing additional research in the social sciences. However, nothing is known about how to choose a fo...

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Dades bibliogràfiques
Publicat a:Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Autors principals: Bohk-Ewald, Christina, Li, Peng, Myrskylä, Mikko
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: National Academy of Sciences 2018
Matèries:
Accés en línia:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140540/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30150406
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115
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