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Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns

Epidemics of infectious diseases often occur in predictable limit cycles. Theory suggests these cycles can be disrupted by high amplitude seasonal fluctuations in transmission rates, resulting in deterministic chaos. However, persistent deterministic chaos has never been observed, in part because su...

Πλήρης περιγραφή

Αποθηκεύτηκε σε:
Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
Τόπος έκδοσης:PLoS Comput Biol
Κύριοι συγγραφείς: Dalziel, Benjamin D., Bjørnstad, Ottar N., van Panhuis, Willem G., Burke, Donald S., Metcalf, C. Jessica E., Grenfell, Bryan T.
Μορφή: Artigo
Γλώσσα:Inglês
Έκδοση: Public Library of Science 2016
Θέματα:
Διαθέσιμο Online:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4741526/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26845437
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004655
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