Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns

Epidemics of infectious diseases often occur in predictable limit cycles. Theory suggests these cycles can be disrupted by high amplitude seasonal fluctuations in transmission rates, resulting in deterministic chaos. However, persistent deterministic chaos has never been observed, in part because su...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:PLoS Comput Biol
Main Authors: Dalziel, Benjamin D., Bjørnstad, Ottar N., van Panhuis, Willem G., Burke, Donald S., Metcalf, C. Jessica E., Grenfell, Bryan T.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Public Library of Science 2016
Assuntos:
Research Article
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4741526/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26845437
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004655
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