Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns

Epidemics of infectious diseases often occur in predictable limit cycles. Theory suggests these cycles can be disrupted by high amplitude seasonal fluctuations in transmission rates, resulting in deterministic chaos. However, persistent deterministic chaos has never been observed, in part because su...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yayımlandı:PLoS Comput Biol
Asıl Yazarlar: Dalziel, Benjamin D., Bjørnstad, Ottar N., van Panhuis, Willem G., Burke, Donald S., Metcalf, C. Jessica E., Grenfell, Bryan T.
Materyal Türü: Artigo
Dil:Inglês
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Public Library of Science 2016
Konular:
Research Article
Online Erişim:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4741526/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26845437
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004655
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