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Forecasting Multi-Wave Epidemics Through Bayesian Inference

We present a simple, near-real-time Bayesian method to infer and forecast a multiwave outbreak, and demonstrate it on the COVID-19 pandemic. The approach uses timely epidemiological data that has been widely available for COVID-19. It provides short-term forecasts of the outbreak’s evolution, which...

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Dades bibliogràfiques
Publicat a:Arch Comput Methods Eng
Autors principals: Blonigan, Patrick, Ray, Jaideep, Safta, Cosmin
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: Springer Netherlands 2021
Matèries:
Accés en línia:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8317486/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34335019
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11831-021-09603-9
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