Daily Forecasting of New Cases for Regional Epidemics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification

To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policy-making, we formulated two types of mathematical models for COVID-19 transmission within a regional population. One is a fitting function that can be calibrated to reproduce an epidemic curve with two timescales (e.g., fast growth an...

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Veröffentlicht in:ArXiv
Hauptverfasser: Lin, Yen Ting, Neumann, Jacob, Miller, Ely, Posner, Richard G., Mallela, Abhishek, Safta, Cosmin, Ray, Jaideep, Thakur, Gautam, Chinthavali, Supriya, Hlavacek, William S.
Format: Artigo
Sprache:Inglês
Veröffentlicht: Cornell University 2020
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Article
Online Zugang:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7386511/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32743021
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