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Using prediction markets to predict the outcomes in the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency's next-generation social science programme

There is evidence that prediction markets are useful tools to aggregate information on researchers' beliefs about scientific results including the outcome of replications. In this study, we use prediction markets to forecast the results of novel experimental designs that test established theori...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:R Soc Open Sci
Main Authors: Viganola, Domenico, Buckles, Grant, Chen, Yiling, Diego-Rosell, Pablo, Johannesson, Magnus, Nosek, Brian A., Pfeiffer, Thomas, Siegel, Adam, Dreber, Anna
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: The Royal Society 2021
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8278038/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34295507
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.181308
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