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Using prediction markets to predict the outcomes in the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency's next-generation social science programme

There is evidence that prediction markets are useful tools to aggregate information on researchers' beliefs about scientific results including the outcome of replications. In this study, we use prediction markets to forecast the results of novel experimental designs that test established theori...

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Publicat a:R Soc Open Sci
Autors principals: Viganola, Domenico, Buckles, Grant, Chen, Yiling, Diego-Rosell, Pablo, Johannesson, Magnus, Nosek, Brian A., Pfeiffer, Thomas, Siegel, Adam, Dreber, Anna
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: The Royal Society 2021
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Accés en línia:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8278038/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34295507
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.181308
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