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The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID‐19‐Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area*
We estimate a monthly interacted‐VAR model for euro area macroeconomic aggregates allowing for the impact of uncertainty shocks to depend on the state of the average outlook for the economy measured by survey data. We find that, in response to an uncertainty shock, the peak decrease in industrial pr...
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| Publicado no: | Oxf Bull Econ Stat |
|---|---|
| Main Authors: | , , |
| Formato: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | Inglês |
| Publicado em: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2021
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8250985/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34230746 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1111/obes.12431 |
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