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The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID‐19‐Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area*

We estimate a monthly interacted‐VAR model for euro area macroeconomic aggregates allowing for the impact of uncertainty shocks to depend on the state of the average outlook for the economy measured by survey data. We find that, in response to an uncertainty shock, the peak decrease in industrial pr...

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Vydáno v:Oxf Bull Econ Stat
Hlavní autoři: Pellegrino, Giovanni, Ravenna, Federico, Züllig, Gabriel
Médium: Artigo
Jazyk:Inglês
Vydáno: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021
Témata:
On-line přístup:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8250985/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34230746
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1111/obes.12431
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