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Will an outbreak exceed available resources for control? Estimating the risk from invading pathogens using practical definitions of a severe epidemic

Forecasting whether or not initial reports of disease will be followed by a severe epidemic is an important component of disease management. Standard epidemic risk estimates involve assuming that infections occur according to a branching process and correspond to the probability that the outbreak pe...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:J R Soc Interface
Main Authors: Thompson, R. N., Gilligan, C. A., Cunniffe, N. J.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: The Royal Society 2020
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7729054/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33171074
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0690
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