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Detecting Presymptomatic Infection Is Necessary to Forecast Major Epidemics in the Earliest Stages of Infectious Disease Outbreaks

We assess how presymptomatic infection affects predictability of infectious disease epidemics. We focus on whether or not a major outbreak (i.e. an epidemic that will go on to infect a large number of individuals) can be predicted reliably soon after initial cases of disease have appeared within a p...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:PLoS Comput Biol
Main Authors: Thompson, Robin N., Gilligan, Christopher A., Cunniffe, Nik J.
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Public Library of Science 2016
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4821482/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27046030
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004836
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