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The turning point and end of an expanding epidemic cannot be precisely forecast
Epidemic spread is characterized by exponentially growing dynamics, which are intrinsically unpredictable. The time at which the growth in the number of infected individuals halts and starts decreasing cannot be calculated with certainty before the turning point is actually attained; neither can the...
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| Publicat a: | Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A |
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| Autors principals: | , , , |
| Format: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | Inglês |
| Publicat: |
National Academy of Sciences
2020
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| Matèries: | |
| Accés en línia: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7585017/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33004629 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2007868117 |
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