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The turning point and end of an expanding epidemic cannot be precisely forecast

Epidemic spread is characterized by exponentially growing dynamics, which are intrinsically unpredictable. The time at which the growth in the number of infected individuals halts and starts decreasing cannot be calculated with certainty before the turning point is actually attained; neither can the...

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Bibliografske podrobnosti
izdano v:Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Main Authors: Castro, Mario, Ares, Saúl, Cuesta, José A., Manrubia, Susanna
Format: Artigo
Jezik:Inglês
Izdano: National Academy of Sciences 2020
Teme:
Online dostop:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7585017/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33004629
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2007868117
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