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To lockdown? When to peak? Will there be an end? A macroeconomic analysis on COVID-19 epidemic in the United States

In this paper, we construct an extended SIR model with agents optimally choosing outdoor activities. We calibrate the model and match it to the data from the United States. The model predicts the epidemic in the United States very well. Without government intervention, our simulation shows that the...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:J Macroecon
Autor principal: Ng, Wung Lik
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Elsevier Inc. 2020
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7286282/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32542061
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2020.103230
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