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To lockdown? When to peak? Will there be an end? A macroeconomic analysis on COVID-19 epidemic in the United States

In this paper, we construct an extended SIR model with agents optimally choosing outdoor activities. We calibrate the model and match it to the data from the United States. The model predicts the epidemic in the United States very well. Without government intervention, our simulation shows that the...

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Vydáno v:J Macroecon
Hlavní autor: Ng, Wung Lik
Médium: Artigo
Jazyk:Inglês
Vydáno: Elsevier Inc. 2020
Témata:
On-line přístup:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7286282/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32542061
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2020.103230
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