Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths

We estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single death occurs, hundreds to thousands of cases are likely to be present in that population. This suggests containment via contact tracing will be...

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Pubblicato in:medRxiv
Autori principali: Jombart, Thibaut, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Russell, Timothy W, Jarvis, Christopher I, Gimma, Amy, Abbott, Sam, Clifford, Sam, Funk, Sebastian, Gibbs, Hamish, Liu, Yang, Pearson, Carl A. B., Bosse, Nikos I, Eggo, Rosalind M, Kucharski, Adam J, Edmunds, W John
Natura: Artigo
Lingua:Inglês
Pubblicazione: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2020
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Article
Accesso online:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7239087/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32511459
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761
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