Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths

We estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single death occurs, hundreds to thousands of cases are likely to be present in that population. This suggests containment via contact tracing will be...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:medRxiv
Main Authors: Jombart, Thibaut, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Russell, Timothy W, Jarvis, Christopher I, Gimma, Amy, Abbott, Sam, Clifford, Sam, Funk, Sebastian, Gibbs, Hamish, Liu, Yang, Pearson, Carl A. B., Bosse, Nikos I, Eggo, Rosalind M, Kucharski, Adam J, Edmunds, W John
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2020
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Article
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7239087/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32511459
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761
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