Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration

How predictable are life trajectories? We investigated this question with a scientific mass collaboration using the common task method; 160 teams built predictive models for six life outcomes using data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, a high-quality birth cohort study. Despite u...

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Publicat a:Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Autors principals: Salganik, Matthew J., Lundberg, Ian, Kindel, Alexander T., Ahearn, Caitlin E., Al-Ghoneim, Khaled, Almaatouq, Abdullah, Altschul, Drew M., Brand, Jennie E., Carnegie, Nicole Bohme, Compton, Ryan James, Datta, Debanjan, Davidson, Thomas, Filippova, Anna, Gilroy, Connor, Goode, Brian J., Jahani, Eaman, Kashyap, Ridhi, Kirchner, Antje, McKay, Stephen, Morgan, Allison C., Pentland, Alex, Polimis, Kivan, Raes, Louis, Rigobon, Daniel E., Roberts, Claudia V., Stanescu, Diana M., Suhara, Yoshihiko, Usmani, Adaner, Wang, Erik H., Adem, Muna, Alhajri, Abdulla, AlShebli, Bedoor, Amin, Redwane, Amos, Ryan B., Argyle, Lisa P., Baer-Bositis, Livia, Büchi, Moritz, Chung, Bo-Ryehn, Eggert, William, Faletto, Gregory, Fan, Zhilin, Freese, Jeremy, Gadgil, Tejomay, Gagné, Josh, Gao, Yue, Halpern-Manners, Andrew, Hashim, Sonia P., Hausen, Sonia, He, Guanhua, Higuera, Kimberly, Hogan, Bernie, Horwitz, Ilana M., Hummel, Lisa M., Jain, Naman, Jin, Kun, Jurgens, David, Kaminski, Patrick, Karapetyan, Areg, Kim, E. H., Leizman, Ben, Liu, Naijia, Möser, Malte, Mack, Andrew E., Mahajan, Mayank, Mandell, Noah, Marahrens, Helge, Mercado-Garcia, Diana, Mocz, Viola, Mueller-Gastell, Katariina, Musse, Ahmed, Niu, Qiankun, Nowak, William, Omidvar, Hamidreza, Or, Andrew, Ouyang, Karen, Pinto, Katy M., Porter, Ethan, Porter, Kristin E., Qian, Crystal, Rauf, Tamkinat, Sargsyan, Anahit, Schaffner, Thomas, Schnabel, Landon, Schonfeld, Bryan, Sender, Ben, Tang, Jonathan D., Tsurkov, Emma, van Loon, Austin, Varol, Onur, Wang, Xiafei, Wang, Zhi, Wang, Julia, Wang, Flora, Weissman, Samantha, Whitaker, Kirstie, Wolters, Maria K., Woon, Wei Lee, Wu, James, Wu, Catherine, Yang, Kengran, Yin, Jingwen, Zhao, Bingyu, Zhu, Chenyun, Brooks-Gunn, Jeanne, Engelhardt, Barbara E., Hardt, Moritz, Knox, Dean, Levy, Karen, Narayanan, Arvind, Stewart, Brandon M., Watts, Duncan J., McLanahan, Sara
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: National Academy of Sciences 2020
Matèries:
Social Sciences
Accés en línia:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7165437/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32229555
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1915006117
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