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Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble

Here we examine the skill of three, five, and seven-category monthly ENSO probability forecasts (1982–2015) from single and multi-model ensemble integrations of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) project. Three-category forecasts are typical and provide probabilities for the ENSO phase (E...

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Publicat a:Clim Dyn
Autors principals: Tippett, Michael K., Ranganathan, Meghana, L’Heureux, Michelle, Barnston, Anthony G., DelSole, Timothy
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2017
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Accés en línia:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6934243/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31929688
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3721-y
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