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Monthly ENSO Forecast Skill and Lagged Ensemble Size
The mean square error (MSE) of a lagged ensemble of monthly forecasts of the Niño 3.4 index from the Climate Forecast System (CFSv2) is examined with respect to ensemble size and configuration. Although the real‐time forecast is initialized 4 times per day, it is possible to infer the MSE for arbitr...
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| Publicado no: | J Adv Model Earth Syst |
|---|---|
| Main Authors: | , , , |
| Formato: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | Inglês |
| Publicado em: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2018
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5993225/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29937973 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017MS001204 |
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