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Forecasting the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in the UK

Near real-time epidemic forecasting approaches are needed to respond to the increasing number of infectious disease outbreaks. In this paper, we retrospectively assess the performance of simple phenomenological models that incorporate early sub-exponential growth dynamics to generate short-term fore...

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Publicat a:Ecohealth
Autors principals: Shanafelt, David W., Jones, Glyn, Lima, Mauricio, Perrings, Charles, Chowell, Gerardo
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: Springer US 2017
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Accés en línia:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6132414/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29238900
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10393-017-1293-2
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