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Forecasting the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in the UK

Near real-time epidemic forecasting approaches are needed to respond to the increasing number of infectious disease outbreaks. In this paper, we retrospectively assess the performance of simple phenomenological models that incorporate early sub-exponential growth dynamics to generate short-term fore...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Publicado no:Ecohealth
Main Authors: Shanafelt, David W., Jones, Glyn, Lima, Mauricio, Perrings, Charles, Chowell, Gerardo
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Springer US 2017
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6132414/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29238900
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10393-017-1293-2
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