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A new method for determining the optimal lagged ensemble
We propose a general methodology for determining the lagged ensemble that minimizes the mean square forecast error. The MSE of a lagged ensemble is shown to depend only on a quantity called the cross‐lead error covariance matrix, which can be estimated from a short hindcast data set and parameterize...
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| Pubblicato in: | J Adv Model Earth Syst |
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| Autori principali: | , , , |
| Natura: | Artigo |
| Lingua: | Inglês |
| Pubblicazione: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2017
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| Soggetti: | |
| Accesso online: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5434667/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28580050 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000838 |
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