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Extending the Lee-Carter method to model the rotation of age patterns of mortality-decline for long-term projection

In developed countries, mortality decline is decelerating at younger ages and accelerating at old ages, which we call a “rotation”. We expect that this rotation will also occur in developing countries as they attain high life expectancies. But the rotation is subtle and has proved difficult to handl...

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Publicat a:Demography
Autors principals: Li, Nan, Lee, Ronald, Gerland, Patrick
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: 2013
Matèries:
Accés en línia:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4550589/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23904392
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-013-0232-2
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