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Extending the Lee-Carter method to model the rotation of age patterns of mortality-decline for long-term projection
In developed countries, mortality decline is decelerating at younger ages and accelerating at old ages, which we call a “rotation”. We expect that this rotation will also occur in developing countries as they attain high life expectancies. But the rotation is subtle and has proved difficult to handl...
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| Опубликовано в: : | Demography |
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| Главные авторы: | , , |
| Формат: | Artigo |
| Язык: | Inglês |
| Опубликовано: |
2013
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| Предметы: | |
| Online-ссылка: | https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4550589/ https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23904392 https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-013-0232-2 |
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