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The Application of the Grey Disaster Model to Forecast Epidemic Peaks of Typhoid and Paratyphoid Fever in China

OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to forecast epidemic peaks of typhoid and paratyphoid fever in China using the grey disaster model, to evaluate its feasibility of predicting the epidemic tendency of notifiable diseases. METHODS: According to epidemiological features, the GM(1,1) model a...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Shen, Xuejun, Ou, Limin, Chen, Xiaojun, Zhang, Xin, Tan, Xuerui
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicado em: Public Library of Science 2013
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3614922/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23565260
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0060601
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