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The Application of the Grey Disaster Model to Forecast Epidemic Peaks of Typhoid and Paratyphoid Fever in China

OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to forecast epidemic peaks of typhoid and paratyphoid fever in China using the grey disaster model, to evaluate its feasibility of predicting the epidemic tendency of notifiable diseases. METHODS: According to epidemiological features, the GM(1,1) model a...

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Main Authors: Shen, Xuejun, Ou, Limin, Chen, Xiaojun, Zhang, Xin, Tan, Xuerui
格式: Artigo
語言:Inglês
出版: Public Library of Science 2013
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在線閱讀:https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3614922/
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23565260
https://ncbi.nlm.nih.govhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0060601
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