A probabilistic prediction of the next strong earthquake in the Acapulco-San Marcos segment, Mexico

Conditional probabilities for recurrence times of large earthquakes are a reasonable and valid form for estimating the likelihood of future large earthquakes. In this study we assume a gamma and a lognormal distribution for the recurrence time intervals of large earthquakes. The seismic process in t...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliografische Detailangaben

1. Verfasser:	Sergio G. Ferráes
Format:	Artigo
Sprache:	Inglês
Veröffentlicht:	Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Geofísica 2005-04-01
Schriftenreihe:	Geofísica Internacional
Schlagworte:	Earthquakes probabilistic prediction conditional density gamma distribution lognormal distribution recurrence time prediction error
Online-Zugang:	http://www.geofisica.unam.mx/unid_apoyo/editorial/publicaciones/investigacion/geofisica_internacional/anteriores/2005/04/Ferraes.pdf
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