Probabilistic prediction of the next large earthquake in the Michoacán fault-segment of the Mexican subduction zone

Estimation of the time interval Δt until the next strong earthquake to be expected in a seismic source region is a difficult problem. In the conventional method of time-interval prediction, given some distribution of observed interval times between large earthquakes and knowing the elapsed time t si...

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Auteur principal:	Sergio G. Ferráes
Format:	Artigo
Langue:	Inglês
Publié:	Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Geofísica 2003-07-01
Collection:	Geofísica Internacional
Sujets:	Probabilistic prediction conditional probability of earthquake occurrence Weibull Rayleigh and Pareto models estimation of interval times of occurrence.
Accès en ligne:	http://www.geofisica.unam.mx/unid_apoyo/editorial/publicaciones/investigacion/geofisica_internacional/anteriores/2003/01/ferraes.pdf
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