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Identifying Perturbations That Tipped the Stratosphere Into a Sudden Warming During January 2013

Abstract We present a new methodology demonstrating that specific small‐magnitude regional perturbations can cause large systematic responses in subseasonal predictions. We show this with ensemble forecasts of the January 2013 Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) from an operational long‐range global...

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Autors principals: Chris Kent, Adam A. Scaife, William J. M. Seviour, Nick Dunstone, Doug Smith, Kerry Smout‐Day
Format: Artigo
Idioma:Inglês
Publicat: Wiley 2023-12-01
Col·lecció:Geophysical Research Letters
Accés en línia:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106288
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