Identifying Perturbations That Tipped the Stratosphere Into a Sudden Warming During January 2013
Abstract We present a new methodology demonstrating that specific small‐magnitude regional perturbations can cause large systematic responses in subseasonal predictions. We show this with ensemble forecasts of the January 2013 Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) from an operational long‐range global...
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| Principais autores: | , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | Inglês |
| Publicado em: |
Wiley
2023-12-01
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| coleção: | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Acesso em linha: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106288 |
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