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Bayesian Forecasting of Dynamic Extreme Quantiles

In this paper, we provide a novel Bayesian solution to forecasting extreme quantile thresholds that are dynamic in nature. This is an important problem in many fields of study including climatology, structural engineering, and finance. We utilize results from extreme value theory to provide the back...

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Autore principale: Douglas E. Johnston
Natura: Artigo
Lingua:Inglês
Pubblicazione: MDPI AG 2021-10-01
Serie:Forecasting
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Accesso online:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/3/4/45
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