A new method for determining the optimal lagged ensemble
Abstract We propose a general methodology for determining the lagged ensemble that minimizes the mean square forecast error. The MSE of a lagged ensemble is shown to depend only on a quantity called the cross‐lead error covariance matrix, which can be estimated from a short hindcast data set and par...
Gorde:
| Egile Nagusiak: | , , , |
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| Formatua: | Artigo |
| Hizkuntza: | Inglês |
| Argitaratua: |
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
2017-03-01
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| Saila: | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems |
| Gaiak: | |
| Sarrera elektronikoa: | https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000838 |
| Etiketak: |
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