Characterizing Improvements in Ensemble Forecast Performance Over the Last Decade: A Retrospective Analysis of the Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS)

Abstract Hydrologic forecasts are essential for mitigating water‐related risks. However, little work has explored whether operational ensemble forecasts have improved over time, particularly with respect to probabilistic performance and in cases with limited data. This study contributes a retrospect...

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Ngā kaituhi matua:	M. C. Allen, S. Steinschneider
Hōputu:	Artigo
Reo:	Inglês
I whakaputaina:	Wiley 2026-04-01
Rangatū:	Geophysical Research Letters
Ngā marau:	forecast skill hydroclimate variability ensemble forecasting operational forecasting probabilistic forecast performance forecast‐informed decision‐making
Urunga tuihono:	https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL119088
Ngā Tūtohu:	Tāpirihia he Tūtohu Kāore He Tūtohu, Me noho koe te mea tuatahi ki te tūtohu i tēnei pūkete!