Characterizing Improvements in Ensemble Forecast Performance Over the Last Decade: A Retrospective Analysis of the Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS)

Abstract Hydrologic forecasts are essential for mitigating water‐related risks. However, little work has explored whether operational ensemble forecasts have improved over time, particularly with respect to probabilistic performance and in cases with limited data. This study contributes a retrospect...

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Autores principales:	M. C. Allen, S. Steinschneider
Formato:	Artigo
Lenguaje:	Inglês
Publicado:	Wiley 2026-04-01
Colección:	Geophysical Research Letters
Materias:	forecast skill hydroclimate variability ensemble forecasting operational forecasting probabilistic forecast performance forecast‐informed decision‐making
Acceso en línea:	https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL119088
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