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The Signal‐to‐Noise Paradox for Interannual Surface Atmospheric Temperature Predictions

Abstract The “signal‐to‐noise paradox” implies that climate models are better at predicting observations than themselves. Here, it is shown that this apparent paradox is expected when the relative level of predicted signal is weaker in models than in observations. In the presence of model error, the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: F. Sévellec, S. S. Drijfhout
Format: Artigo
Language:Inglês
Published: Wiley 2019-08-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083855
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