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The Signal‐to‐Noise Paradox for Interannual Surface Atmospheric Temperature Predictions

Abstract The “signal‐to‐noise paradox” implies that climate models are better at predicting observations than themselves. Here, it is shown that this apparent paradox is expected when the relative level of predicted signal is weaker in models than in observations. In the presence of model error, the...

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Autori principali: F. Sévellec, S. S. Drijfhout
Natura: Artigo
Lingua:Inglês
Pubblicazione: Wiley 2019-08-01
Serie:Geophysical Research Letters
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Accesso online:https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083855
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