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Coherence of probability judgments from uncertain evidence: Does ACH help?

Although the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses method (ACH) is a structured analytic technique promoted in several intelligence communities for improving the quality of probabilistic hypothesis testing, it has received little empirical testing. Whereas previous evaluations have used numerical evidenc...

Бүрэн тодорхойлолт

-д хадгалсан:
Номзүйн дэлгэрэнгүй
Үндсэн зохиолчид: Christopher W. Karvetski, David R. Mandel
Формат: Artigo
Хэл сонгох:Inglês
Хэвлэсэн: Cambridge University Press 2020-11-01
Цуврал:Judgment and Decision Making
Нөхцлүүд:
Онлайн хандалт:http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200430/jdm200430.pdf
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