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Coherence of probability judgments from uncertain evidence: Does ACH help?

Although the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses method (ACH) is a structured analytic technique promoted in several intelligence communities for improving the quality of probabilistic hypothesis testing, it has received little empirical testing. Whereas previous evaluations have used numerical evidenc...

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Autori principali: Christopher W. Karvetski, David R. Mandel
Natura: Artigo
Lingua:Inglês
Pubblicazione: Cambridge University Press 2020-11-01
Serie:Judgment and Decision Making
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Accesso online:http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200430/jdm200430.pdf
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